Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 19.316349 22.446511 26.215963 31.182671 37.703367 46.202258 5.853921e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 15.652388 19.289796 24.105502 31.222446 42.017873 58.884603 9.011903e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 13.701324 17.558037 23.006485 31.761080 46.640795 73.871819 1.384058e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 11.961875 15.711111 21.233584 30.620119 47.920051 83.701146 1.893197e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 10.886753 14.615907 20.320152 30.538672 50.928408 98.913394 2.840804e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.767602 13.293709 18.817333 29.054746 50.604229 106.251367 3.746315e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.754216 12.019717 17.214761 27.061929 48.555100 107.838706 4.496370e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.973522 11.035196 15.974919 25.533987 47.122138 110.630362 5.555963e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.170568 11.616006 17.448973 29.590477 60.688596 179.493973 2.823433e+03
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.989774 11.552713 17.773117 31.362783 69.406750 249.092509 4.767420e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.419461 10.780259 16.700221 29.819267 67.555432 258.773956 3.832102e+06
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.191589 10.576042 16.672039 30.679841 73.934609 341.375194 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.804750 10.087248 16.087983 30.219951 76.087639 407.269600 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.492437 9.707332 15.679858 30.131472 79.770119 515.514544 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.267162 9.463938 15.515059 30.633910 86.307012 729.944075 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.922062 8.977756 14.804800 29.552029 85.437787 819.638460 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.694213 8.691459 14.481894 29.474766 89.336391 1109.349187 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.375912 8.218614 13.727136 28.066664 86.039131 1143.858044 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.039755 7.697180 12.837063 26.172777 79.672185 1015.102555 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.760210 7.270088 12.124407 24.718360 75.234093 957.739552 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.911976 7.657366 13.181524 28.575229 102.144134 5199.256002 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.880713 7.693285 13.476369 30.255987 119.560296 53310.363429 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.648608 7.326342 12.830577 28.792345 113.615693 47915.929077 NaN